Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 28

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDOH | FDD+

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Pistons Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 44-28 against the spread, while the Pistons are 40-31 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
Detroit Pistons U

Pistons vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pistons.

Pistons vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 77 games (+29.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 94 games (+20.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 75 games (+15.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 48 away games (+14.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 77 games (+14.19 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 62 games (+16.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.72 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 75 games (+13.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 44-28 (+13.2 Units / 16.44% ROI).

  • 59-14 against the Moneyline (+25.5 Units / 7.45% ROI)
  • 47-26 against the Over for game total points (+18.4 Units / 22.91% ROI)
  • 26-47 against the Under for game total points (-25.7 Units / -32.01% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 40-31 (+5.85 Units / 7.28% ROI).

  • 41-32 against the Moneyline (+9.2 Units / 6.87% ROI)
  • 36-35 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.11% ROI)
  • 35-36 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.73% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 66 games (-26.35 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 72 games (-25.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 58 games (-21.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 65 games (-20.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 60 games (-19.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 68 games (-30.78 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 94 games (-29.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 94 games (-29.50 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.67 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 91 games (-25.00 Units / -24% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Cavaliers are undefeated (11-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Cavaliers are 47-11 (.810) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .496

The Cavaliers are 33-6 (.846) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Cavaliers are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 7-25 (.219) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Pistons were 5-33 (.132) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 54% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.35 points per shot (4,514 points/3,352 shots) on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Cavaliers have averaged 60.7 points per game (4,432 points/73 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 10.7 fast break points per game (780 points/73 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons have averaged 19.1 fast break points per game (1,391 points/73 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons had a TS% of 50% last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,653 rebounds/73 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,490/3,380) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (313 blocks/73 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have blocked 381 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Pistons have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (381 blocks/73 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 7.3 steals per game (1,124 steals/155 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8


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