Cavaliers vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -9.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOH | KENS

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Cavaliers vs Spurs Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 24-20 against the spread, while the Spurs are 24-25 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-9.5 -115O 231.5 -115-500
San Antonio Spurs +9.5 -105U 231.5 -105+360

Spurs vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Saturday‘s game with 80.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Cavaliers and Spurs, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Spurs vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.2% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+17.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 79 games (+16.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games (+14.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 71 games (+17.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 24-20 (+2.15 Units / 4.27% ROI).

  • 30-16 against the Moneyline (+13.8 Units / 15.45% ROI)
  • 21-24 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -10.66% ROI)
  • 24-21 against the Under for game total points (+0.95 Units / 1.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 24-25 (-3.4 Units / -6.32% ROI).

  • 10-39 against the Moneyline (-21.4 Units / -41.19% ROI)
  • 26-22 against the Over for game total points (+1.75 Units / 3.24% ROI)
  • 22-26 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -12.26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 44 games (-26.70 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 79 games (-22.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-20.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 54 games (-20.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-17.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 79 games (-26.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.85 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 58 games (-14.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 58 games (-12.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 38 away games (-11.25 Units / -27% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Cavaliers were 28-16 (.636) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Cavaliers are 22-5 (.815) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have averaged 51.0 rebounds/game this season — 9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Cavaliers were 19-8 (.704) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Cavaliers are 22-6 (.786) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Spurs are 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Spurs are 11-57 (.162) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .361

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Injury Report: Spurs vs. CavaliersSaturday‘s Game, Feb. 3

  • Charles Bassey (San Antonio Spurs): Knee, Out For Season
  • Sidy Cissoko (San Antonio Spurs): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Zach Collins (San Antonio Spurs): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out
  • Darius Garland (Cleveland Cavaliers): Jaw, Game Time Decision

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have 21.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Cavaliers shot 49% (3,408/6,984) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Cavaliers averaged 112.3 points per game (9,205 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 56% in the second half this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs are shooting 34% from three (613/1,789) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have 20.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.3

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (211 blocks/46 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,661 rebounds/46 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Spurs allowed 123.1 points per game (10,092 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7


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