Cavaliers vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 18

  • The Cavaliers are -7.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDN+ | FDOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN, USA.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 27-13 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 16-23 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-5.5 -110O 226.5 -110-250
Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 -110U 226.5 -110+190

Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Saturday‘s game with 79.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 59.1% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 44 games (+24.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 40 games (+20.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 72 games (+19.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 62 games (+15.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+14.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 49 games at home (+21.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+10.43 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 87 games (+8.72 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 27-13 (+12.7 Units / 28.86% ROI).

  • 34-6 against the Moneyline (+20.95 Units / 11.68% ROI)
  • 27-13 against the Over for game total points (+12.7 Units / 28.86% ROI)
  • 13-27 against the Under for game total points (-16.7 Units / -37.95% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 16-23 (-9.35 Units / -20.71% ROI).

  • 22-19 against the Moneyline (-13.8 Units / -13.14% ROI)
  • 20-21 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -6.87% ROI)
  • 21-20 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -2.22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (-36.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 49 games at home (-26.75 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-24.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Spread in 14 of their last 49 games at home (-22.40 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-21.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 90 games (-31.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 95 games (-26.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 72 games (-26.70 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 75 games (-26.28 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 77 games (-25.72 Units / -29% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Cavaliers are 11-1 (.917) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Cavaliers are 41-1 (.976) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

The Cavaliers are 33-4 (.892) when scoring 110 or more points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Cavaliers were 41-23 (.641) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Timberwolves are 20-12 (.625) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .498

The Timberwolves are 13-1 (.929) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .814

The Timberwolves are 5-10 (.333) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

The Timberwolves were 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,168 assists/ 530 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers have averaged 122.0 points per game (4,882 points/40 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 55% on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have 20.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 43.5 points in the paint per game (1,782 points/41 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (882 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (567 blocks/122 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,558 rebounds/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves blocked 496 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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