Celtics vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -10.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | FDSE

The Boston Celtics visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Celtics vs Hawks Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 4-3 against the spread, while the Hawks are 1-6 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-9.5 -115O 231.5 -105-500
Atlanta Hawks +9.5 -105U 231.5 -115+375

Hawks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Monday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Hawks.

Hawks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 56 games (+29.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 51 games (+20.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 46 away games (+13.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 95 games (+12.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 49 games (+18.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 5-1 against the Moneyline (+2.35 Units / 7.37% ROI)
  • 3-3 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 3-3 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 1-6 (-5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI).

  • 2-4 against the Moneyline (-5.05 Units / -42.26% ROI)
  • 6-0 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-6 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -100% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 84 games (-32.25 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 85 games (-28.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 58 games (-20.05 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 73 games (-29.65 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 98 games (-19.70 Units / -18% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Celtics are 42-9 (.824) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .582

The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Celtics were 34-8 (.810) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Celtics are 58-15 (.795) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks were 10-28 (.263) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics averaged 53.7 rebounds/game last season — T-4th-highest in the NBA.

The Hawks were 14-20 (.412) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (979 turnovers/82 games) last season — lowest in the NBA.

The Hawks are 15-50 (.231) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: Hawks vs. CelticsMonday‘s Game, Nov. 4

  • Atlanta Hawks – No Injuries Reported
  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Celtics made 1,351 three-pointers last season — most among NBA teams

The Celtics have made 16.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks averaged 14.3 second chance points per game (1,174 points/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Hawks shot 35% from three (882/2,505) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (18,877 points/15,538 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hawks have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,914 rebounds/171 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.