- The Celtics are -10.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 203.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | NBSB | SUN
The Boston Celtics visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL.
The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Celtics vs Heat Over/Under is 203.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 43-37 against the spread, while the Heat are 43-42 against the spread.
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Celtics vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Boston Celtics | -10.5 -110 | O 203.5 -115 | -550 |
Miami Heat | +10.5 -110 | U 203.5 -105 | +400 |
Heat vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 83.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Heat.
Heat vs Celtics Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.2% confidence.
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Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 43 away games (+28.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 60 of their last 88 games (+28.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 78 games (+23.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 66 games (+19.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 50 of their last 84 games (+16.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 97 games (+17.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 96 games (+16.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+16.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 100 games (+12.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 43-37 (+2.3 Units / 2.46% ROI).
- 66-19 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -0.01% ROI)
- 44-40 against the Over for game total points (+0.05 Units / 0.05% ROI)
- 40-44 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -8.98% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 43-42 (-3.2 Units / -3.34% ROI).
- 48-39 against the Moneyline (+5.5 Units / 3.05% ROI)
- 37-50 against the Over for game total points (-18 Units / -18.81% ROI)
- 50-37 against the Under for game total points (+9.3 Units / 9.72% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 96 games (-25.80 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-25.70 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-25.15 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-21.05 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 90 games (-20.25 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 98 games (-35.35 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-24.40 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 99 games (-21.80 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (-18.70 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 96 games (-18.65 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
Keys to the game – away
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Heat were 34-10 (.773) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Heat were 12-3 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700
The Heat are 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Heat were 16-6 (.727) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609
Injury Report: Heat vs. Celtics – Monday‘s Game, Apr. 29
- Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision
- Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out For Season
- Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Neck, Out
- Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Derrick White (Boston Celtics): Ankle, Game Time Decision
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have made 16.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Celtics have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Celtics have made 15.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat are shooting 84% from the free throw line (1,550/1,844) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%
The Heat have averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28
The Celtics have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Celtics have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (489 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (523 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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