Celtics vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 23

  • The Celtics are -4.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max

The Boston Celtics visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA, USA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Celtics vs Lakers Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 17-26 against the spread, while the Lakers are 20-21 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-6.5 -105O 220.5 -115-235
Los Angeles Lakers +6.5 -115U 220.5 -105+195

Lakers vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Thursday‘s game with 79.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Lakers.

Lakers vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.0% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 69 of their last 93 games (+18.37 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 42 away games (+16.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 80 games (+20.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 80 games (+14.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+12.92 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+10.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 17-26 (-11.6 Units / -23.97% ROI).

  • 31-13 against the Moneyline (-35.75 Units / -13.13% ROI)
  • 19-25 against the Over for game total points (-8.5 Units / -17.56% ROI)
  • 25-19 against the Under for game total points (+4.1 Units / 8.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 20-21 (-3.1 Units / -6.88% ROI).

  • 23-18 against the Moneyline (-0.3 Units / -0.36% ROI)
  • 19-22 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -11.54% ROI)
  • 22-19 against the Under for game total points (+1.05 Units / 2.33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-23.62 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 38 games (-18.97 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 85 games (-18.00 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 47 games (-15.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-15.63 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 74 games (-50.35 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 80 games (-45.99 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 98 games (-30.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 80 games (-28.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.20 Units / -23% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Celtics are 20-4 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458

The Celtics are 46-10 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Celtics were 15-1 (.938) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Celtics are 25-6 (.806) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Lakers were 18-1 (.947) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Lakers are 19-12 (.613) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Lakers were 23-13 (.639) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Lakers were 14-4 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics have made 16.3 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Celtics have made 17.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (1,349 points/123 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 55.6 points in the paint per game (4,556 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,717 rebounds/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (13,717 points/11,468 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 50% (260/517) in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Lakers have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,394 rebounds/41 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Lakers have averaged 7.0 steals per game (659 steals/94 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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