Celtics vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 7

  • The Celtics are -5.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | NBSB

The Boston Celtics visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Nuggets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 14-21 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 15-18 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-10.5 -110O 231.5 -110-500
Denver Nuggets +10.5 -110U 231.5 -110+360

Nuggets vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Tuesday‘s game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 63.6% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 64 of their last 85 games (+21.77 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 98 games (+18.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 38 away games (+16.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 85 games (+13.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 42 games at home (+16.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+15.27 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 14-21 (-9.1 Units / -22.98% ROI).

  • 26-10 against the Moneyline (-20.85 Units / -9.59% ROI)
  • 16-20 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 20-16 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 15-18 (-4.8 Units / -12.83% ROI).

  • 20-14 against the Moneyline (-5.75 Units / -7.41% ROI)
  • 22-12 against the Over for game total points (+8.8 Units / 23.53% ROI)
  • 12-22 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units / -32.62% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 78 games (-39.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 87 games (-36.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 49 games (-26.60 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 56 games (-26.00 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 90 games (-22.97 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 72 games (-42.34 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 66 games (-35.45 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 100 games (-33.00 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 72 games (-27.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 48 away games (-22.60 Units / -41% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Celtics are 24-6 (.800) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Celtics were 15-1 (.938) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Celtics are 58-11 (.841) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .632

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets were 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (136 assists/ 48 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 31.7 assists per game (1,079 assists/34 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.3

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (524 assists/ 218 TOs) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 20.1 fast break points per game (682 points/34 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Celtics have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,319 rebounds/36 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,262 rebounds/34 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (160 blocks/34 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.