Celtics vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 3

  • The Celtics are -2.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | SCHN

The Boston Celtics visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Celtics vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 13-20 against the spread, while the Rockets are 20-13 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Friday‘s game with 76.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Rockets.

Rockets vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 64.5% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 62 of their last 83 games (+19.77 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 96 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 36 away games (+14.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 83 games (+11.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 26 away games (+10.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 59 games (+21.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+14.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 58 games (+13.23 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games (+12.17 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 13-20 (-9 Units / -24.06% ROI).

  • 25-9 against the Moneyline (-20.85 Units / -9.7% ROI)
  • 16-18 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 18-16 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 1.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 20-13 (+5.7 Units / 15.7% ROI).

  • 22-11 against the Moneyline (-0.25 Units / -0.33% ROI)
  • 16-16 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -4.4% ROI)
  • 16-16 against the Under for game total points (-1.5 Units / -4.14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-20.67 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-16.55 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 38 games at home (-15.85 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 54 games (-14.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 69 games (-13.92 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 70 games (-42.22 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-30.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 70 games (-27.40 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 46 away games (-20.30 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 63 games (-15.93 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Celtics are 19-3 (.864) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .462

The Celtics were 15-1 (.938) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Celtics were 36-9 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Celtics are 30-6 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .610

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Rockets are 17-6 (.739) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .601

The Rockets are 30-15 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Rockets are 9-4 (.692) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .521

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have made 18.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an eFG% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets are shooting 24% from three (39/164) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Rockets have averaged 19.6 offensive rebounds per game (3,689 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.4

The Rockets have averaged 1.08 points per shot (455 points/421 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Celtics have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,357 rebounds/116 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Rockets have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,280/2,913) this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

The Rockets have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (250 blocks/58 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3


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About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, โ€œThe Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.โ€

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, โ€œThe Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.โ€