Celtics vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 2

  • The Celtics are -3.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | NBSB

The Boston Celtics visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Celtics vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 13-20 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 13-19 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Thursday‘s game with 78.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 61 of their last 82 games (+18.77 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 100 games (+18.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 57 of their last 82 games (+12.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 83 games (+18.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 57 of their last 98 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 60% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 13-20 (-9 Units / -24.79% ROI).

  • 24-9 against the Moneyline (-21.85 Units / -10.24% ROI)
  • 15-18 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • 18-15 against the Under for game total points (+1.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 13-19 (-7.95 Units / -22.55% ROI).

  • 17-15 against the Moneyline (-11.7 Units / -14.29% ROI)
  • 15-17 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI)
  • 17-15 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 98 games (-25.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games at home (-22.90 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-22.25 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-22.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Spread in 14 of their last 45 games at home (-20.20 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 69 games (-40.97 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 63 games (-36.45 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 100 games (-32.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 69 games (-26.25 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 62 games (-16.93 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Celtics are 19-3 (.864) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Celtics were 36-9 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Celtics are 57-10 (.851) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .633

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Timberwolves are 2-8 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA. The Celtics have made 18.5 three-pointers per game this season — highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves were 24-10 (.706) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves are 14-3 (.824) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Timberwolves are 34-19 (.642) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have made 18.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 1,071 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among NBA teams

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (691 points/56 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.7 fast break points per game (1,447 points/114 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.6 offensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/32 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.9

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,226 rebounds/33 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics averaged 6.8 steals per game (556 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,105 rebounds/114 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%


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