Clippers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Clippers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Heat
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | KTLA | ESPN

The Los Angeles Clippers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Miami, FL.

The Clippers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Clippers vs Heat Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Clippers are against the spread, while the Heat are 22-27 against the spread.


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Clippers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Clippers-4.5 -110O 226.5 -115-185
Miami Heat +4.5 -110U 226.5 -105+150

Heat vs Clippers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Clippers will win Sunday‘s game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Clippers and Heat, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Heat vs Clippers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 58.3% confidence.


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  • The LA Clippers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 29 games (+19.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 75 games (+18.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 away games (+16.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+15.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 76 games (+15.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 79 games (+18.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 73 games (+17.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+16.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 91 games (+14.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Clippers have gone ( Units / ROI).

  • Away Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Away ML Units Units / Away ML ROI ROI)
  • Away Record Over against the Over for game total points (Away Over Units Units / Away Over ROI ROI)
  • Away Under Record against the Under for game total points (Away Under Units Units / Away Under ROI ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 22-27 (-7.65 Units / -14.19% ROI).

  • 26-23 against the Moneyline (-3.45 Units / -4.28% ROI)
  • 20-29 against the Over for game total points (-11.9 Units / -22.08% ROI)
  • 29-20 against the Under for game total points (+7 Units / 12.99% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 95 games (-25.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 81 games (-24.25 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 98 games (-22.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 52 games (-19.75 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 58 games (-19.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 79 games (-27.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-23.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-22.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-20.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The LA Clippers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 42 games (-12.45 Units / -27% ROI)

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Los Angeles Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Clippers were 35-14 (.714) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Clippers are 6-1 (.857) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Clippers are 15-6 (.714) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Clippers are 11-2 (.846) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .629

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Clippers

The Heat are 1-6 (.143) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

The Heat were 17-3 (.850) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Heat are 13-6 (.684) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Heat are 7-3 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

Injury Report: Heat vs. ClippersSunday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
  • Ivica Zubac (Los Angeles Clippers): Calf, Out
  • Jordan Miller (Los Angeles Clippers): Achilles, Game Time Decision
  • Moussa Diabate (Los Angeles Clippers): Hand, Out

Los Angeles Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers are shooting 39% from three (613/1,555) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Clippers have averaged 1.35 points per shot (5,568 points/4,124 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Clippers averaged 11.8 second chance points per game (965 points/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Clippers have averaged 16.2 offensive rebounds per game (761 rebounds/47 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.6

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Heat have averaged 53.7 points per game (2,632 points/49 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.3

The Heat shot 83% from the free throw line (1,567/1,885) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Los Angeles Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Clippers have 382 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Clippers averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Clippers averaged 4.4 blocks per game (364 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Clippers have averaged 8.1 steals per game (382 steals/47 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (405 blocks/131 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (162 blocks/49 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (204 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.