NBA Finals MVP Odds 2025: SGA Enters Playoffs as Favorite

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 of the Oklahoma City Thunder handles the ball in front of Luka Doncic #77 of the Los Angeles Lakers during the first half at Paycom Center on April 8, 2025 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Joshua Gateley/Getty Images

Since 1969, the NBA has honored the top performer in the NBA Finals with an MVP trophy named after Boston Celtics legend Bill Russell. Members of the media covering the series determine the MVP.

This can be a fun market to explore during the postseason, as these odds are often better than a teamโ€™s price to win the title.

Hereโ€™s a look at the latest NBA odds and predictions for the 2025 NBA Finals MVP market:

NBA Finals MVP Odds 2025

PlayerTeamOdds
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderThunder+180
Jayson TatumCeltics+225
Donovan MitchellCavaliers+700
Jaylen BrownCeltics+1600
Luka DoncicLakers+2000
Stephen CurryWarriors+2200
Nikola JokicNuggets+2800
Kristaps PorzingisCeltics+3000
LeBron JamesLakers+3000
Darius GarlandCavaliers+4000
Evan MobleyCavaliers+4000
Kawhi LeonardClippers+4000
Jalen BrunsonKnicks+5000
Jimmy ButlerWarriors+6000
Anthony EdwardsTimberwolves+6600
Karl-Anthony TownsKnicks+8000
Derrick WhiteCeltics+8000
Jalen WilliamsThunder+8000
James HardenClippers+8000
Giannis AntetokounmpoBucks+12500

Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander enters the postseason as the betting favorite to win the NBA Finals MVP, trading at +180 for an implied probability of 35.71% to win the award.

For comparison, Oklahoma City is +185 to win the championship.

I donโ€™t feel comfortable backing that small number this early in the postseason because itโ€™s hard to imagine it getting much worse one round later. Iโ€™m more intrigued by the 80/1 price tags on SGAโ€™s teammates, as both Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams make a case.

While SGA could win the regular-season MVP, the Thunderโ€™s chances for a deep playoff run depend on whether a No. 2 scorer can emerge. Williams, a fringe All-NBA player this year, has the best opportunity after averaging 21.6 points per game.

However, Holmgren may be the better MVP pick due to his two-way impact. He averaged 15 points, eight rebounds, and 2.2 blocks per game over 37 contests this year.

Still, Iโ€™d prefer to look elsewhere in a wide-open Western Conference.

Los Angeles Lakers star Luka Donฤiฤ‡ makes the most sense at his +2000 value, especially after leading the Dallas Mavericks to the NBA Finals last year.

Donฤiฤ‡ and the Lakers wouldnโ€™t have to face the Thunder until at least the Western Conference finals, setting up a favorable path this postseason.

Prediction: Luka Donฤiฤ‡ (+2000)

NBA Finals MVP Award Winners

YearPlayerTeam
2024Jaylen BrownCeltics
2023Nikola JokicNuggets
2022Stephen CurryWarriors
2021Giannis AntetokounmpoBucks
2020LeBron JamesLakers
2019Kawhi LeonardRaptors
2018Kevin DurantWarriors
2017Kevin DurantWarriors
2016LeBron JamesCavaliers
2015Andre IguodalaWarriors
2014Kawhi LeonardSpurs
2013LeBron JamesHeat
2012LeBron JamesHeat
2011Dirk NowitzkiMavericks
2010Kobe BryantLakers
2009Kobe BryantLakers
2008Paul PierceCeltics
2007Tony ParkerSpurs
2006Dwyane WadeHeat
2005Tim DuncanSpurs
2004Chauncey BillupsPistons
2003Tim DuncanSpurs
2002Shaquille O'NealLakers
2001Shaquille O'NealLakers
2000Shaquille O'NealLakers

NBA Playoffs Odds

When the stakes increase on the court, they can increase at the online sportsbook with NBA playoff odds. From the play-in tournament through the NBA Finals, BetMGM is the premier destination for NBA betting.

If you’re new to the sportsbook, register today with BetMGM’s welcome promo. And check out updated sportsbook promos each day of the year.

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.