- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Memphis Grizzlies visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Grizzlies vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 38-37 against the spread, while the Heat are 37-38 against the spread.
Bet now on Heat vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM
Grizzlies vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Memphis Grizzlies | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Thursday‘s game with 75.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Heat.
Heat vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
Bet now on Heat vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 72 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+12.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 away games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 33 away games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+21.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+16.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 42 games (+15.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+12.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 38-37 (-2.7 Units / -3.23% ROI).
- 44-32 against the Moneyline (+0.9 Units / 0.55% ROI)
- 44-32 against the Over for game total points (+8.8 Units / 10.53% ROI)
- 32-44 against the Under for game total points (-16.4 Units / -19.62% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 37-38 (-4.8 Units / -5.74% ROI).
- 35-41 against the Moneyline (-11.75 Units / -9.08% ROI)
- 39-37 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.03% ROI)
- 37-39 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -7.06% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 68 games (-21.83 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 55 games (-20.17 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 72 games (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 38 games (-17.20 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 83 games (-16.05 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 42 games (-38.90 Units / -54% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 44 games (-24.95 Units / -49% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-24.12 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-21.50 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 58 games (-21.40 Units / -32% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Grizzlies are 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .452
The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Grizzlies are undefeated (9-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .629
The Grizzlies were 13-33 (.283) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Heat are 6-13 (.316) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Heat are 9-1 (.900) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .755
The Heat were 3-9 (.250) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Grizzlies averaged 1.18 points per shot (4,262 points/3,600 shots) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Grizzlies averaged 1.20 points per shot (8,677 points/7,230 shots) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 53.1 points per game (8,392 points/158 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat have averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (915 points/158 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Heat have averaged 11.7 second chance points per game (915 points/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Grizzlies have 676 steals this season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Grizzlies forced 16.2 turnovers per game (663 turnovers/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (565 blocks/158 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (285 blocks/76 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (271 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Bet now on Heat vs Grizzlies and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
