Grizzlies vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 3

  • The Kings are -3.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSM | NSCA

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Kings Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 23-11 against the spread, while the Kings are 11-21 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+3.5 -110O 242.5 -105+140
Sacramento Kings -3.5 -110U 242.5 -115-165

Kings vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Friday‘s game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Kings.

Kings vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 54 of their last 80 games (+26.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games (+19.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 78 games (+17.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 away games (+17.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 49 games (+16.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games (+15.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+11.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.57 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 23-11 (+10.9 Units / 29.22% ROI).

  • 23-11 against the Moneyline (+5.6 Units / 7.33% ROI)
  • 21-13 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 17.91% ROI)
  • 13-21 against the Under for game total points (-10.1 Units / -27.01% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 11-21 (-12.1 Units / -32.35% ROI).

  • 15-19 against the Moneyline (-20.3 Units / -25.39% ROI)
  • 15-18 against the Over for game total points (-4.8 Units / -12.85% ROI)
  • 18-15 against the Under for game total points (+1.45 Units / 3.87% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 81 games (-35.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 81 games (-29.18 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.51 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-23.32 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 56 games (-20.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-25.22 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 67 games (-17.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-13.87 Units / -16% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies are undefeated (6-0) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Grizzlies were 17-19 (.472) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Kings are 2-12 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .282

The Kings were 16-22 (.421) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Kings are 2-9 (.182) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .419

The Kings are 21-27 (.438) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies are shooting 24% from three (24/101) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies averaged 1.18 points per shot (4,262 points/3,600 shots) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings have averaged 1.26 points per shot (6,442 points/5,116 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Kings are shooting 34% from three (401/1,187) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings made 14.4 three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,148 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (221 blocks/34 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (739 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6


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