Grizzlies vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 27

  • The Grizzlies are -9.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSM | GCSE

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 21-10 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 11-20 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 61.9% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 52 of their last 77 games (+25.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+18.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 75 games (+17.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 away games (+15.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 46 games (+15.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games (+13.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+10.93 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+10.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 21-10 (+10 Units / 29.41% ROI).

  • 21-10 against the Moneyline (+3.75 Units / 5.25% ROI)
  • 19-12 against the Over for game total points (+5.8 Units / 17.01% ROI)
  • 12-19 against the Under for game total points (-8.9 Units / -26.1% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 11-20 (-11 Units / -32.26% ROI).

  • 5-26 against the Moneyline (-22.3 Units / -62.91% ROI)
  • 16-14 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.76% ROI)
  • 14-16 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.56% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 46 games (-32.60 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 88 games (-26.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 77 games (-24.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.27 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-22.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.92 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-16.87 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-15.82 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 64 games (-15.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 71 games (-15.05 Units / -18% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Grizzlies are 2-30 (.062) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pelicans are 1-12 (.077) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .282

The Pelicans were 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Pelicans are 18-4 (.818) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-3rd-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 3-20 (.130) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .338

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (1,551/3,600) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,172 points/2,695 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Pelicans have a TS% of 46% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans have averaged 105.7 points per game (3,172 points/30 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.9

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (182/594) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (356 blocks/54 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (559 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,148 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (976 rebounds/30 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans stole the ball 684 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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