Grizzlies vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 01, 2024, 3:01 PM
  • The Pistons are -2.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Pistons Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 35-39 against the spread, while the Pistons are 36-36 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+2.5 -115O 215.5 -105+105
Detroit Pistons -2.5 -105U 215.5 -115-130

Pistons vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Monday‘s game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Pistons.

Pistons vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.6% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 82 games (+17.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+15.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 away games (+15.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+8.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+11.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+11.25 Units / 41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 35-39 (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI).

  • 24-50 against the Moneyline (-2.5 Units / -2.95% ROI)
  • 35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI)
  • 39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 36-36 (-3.6 Units / -4.42% ROI).

  • 13-61 against the Moneyline (-33.7 Units / -43.34% ROI)
  • 35-38 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.35% ROI)
  • 38-35 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 79 games (-35.60 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 22 games (-18.35 Units / -79% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 62 games (-17.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 32 games (-16.30 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 82 games (-29.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 76 games (-26.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-26.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 75 games (-17.10 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Grizzlies are winless (0-25) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .208

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .146

The Grizzlies are 8-11 (.421) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 4-28 (.125) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Pistons are 14-54 (.206) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Pistons are 12-89 (.119) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454

Injury Report: Pistons vs. GrizzliesMonday‘s Game, Apr. 1

  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 49% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 51% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (2,824/6,488) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (981 assists/ 596 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (456 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,516 rebounds/74 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 steals per game (463 steals/74 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (657 blocks/156 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (349 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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