Grizzlies vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDSM | FDDT | NBAt

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Pistons Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 38-38 against the spread, while the Pistons are 42-33 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies O
Detroit Pistons U

Pistons vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Pistons.

Pistons vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 73 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 59 games (+11.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 away games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 66 games (+17.57 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 79 games (+15.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 62 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 38-38 (-3.8 Units / -4.49% ROI).

  • 45-32 against the Moneyline (+1.9 Units / 1.15% ROI)
  • 44-33 against the Over for game total points (+7.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 33-44 against the Under for game total points (-15.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 42-33 (+5.65 Units / 6.67% ROI).

  • 43-34 against the Moneyline (+10.35 Units / 7.32% ROI)
  • 38-37 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.19% ROI)
  • 37-38 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.67% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 76 games (-27.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-24.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 62 games (-23.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 69 games (-20.85 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 64 games (-19.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 43 games (-40.80 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 45 games (-26.10 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.82 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-20.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 59 games (-20.40 Units / -30% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies are 26-29 (.473) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 7-25 (.219) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pistons were 4-34 (.105) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 49% in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (818 points/77 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons had a TS% of 50% last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Pistons have averaged 14.8 second chance points per game (1,138 points/77 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,073 assists/ 665 TOs) in the first half last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (442 blocks/77 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (943 blocks/159 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Grizzlies have allowed 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (783 rebounds/77 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.6

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,151 steals/159 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pistons have averaged 7.3 steals per game (596 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Pistons have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,768 rebounds/77 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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