Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 25

  • The Rockets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSM | SCHN

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies vs Rockets Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 0-1 against the spread, while the Rockets are 0-1 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+3.5 -110O 226.5 -115+140
Houston Rockets -3.5 -110U 226.5 -105-165

Rockets vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Rockets.

Rockets vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.1% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 away games (+22.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 47 games (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+12.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 away games (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Grizzlies have gone 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-0 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 74.07% ROI)
  • 1-0 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-1 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Rockets have gone 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 against the Moneyline (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 0-1 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 1-0 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 30 games at home (-19.30 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 83 games (-18.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-16.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 83 games (-16.80 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 72 games (-16.00 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-23.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-23.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 71 games (-16.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 33 away games (-16.10 Units / -43% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Grizzlies were 9-41 (.180) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets averaged 54.2 rebounds/game last season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies were 7-43 (.140) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 5-21 (.192) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 8-19 (.296) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Injury Report: Rockets vs. GrizzliesFriday‘s Game, Oct. 25

  • Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported
  • Memphis Grizzlies – No Injuries Reported

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies averaged 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,784 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.7 steals per game (717 steals/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0


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About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, โ€œThe Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.โ€

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, โ€œThe Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.โ€