Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDOK | WMC | FDSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Grizzlies vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 38-33 against the spread, while the Thunder are 45-24 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Thunder.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+13.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 away games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 67 games (+12.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 3Q Spread in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 55 of their last 87 games (+24.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 88 games (+22.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games (+17.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 46 games (+12.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 38-33 (+1.7 Units / 2.15% ROI).

  • 44-28 against the Moneyline (+5.15 Units / 3.24% ROI)
  • 42-30 against the Over for game total points (+9 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • 30-42 against the Under for game total points (-16.2 Units / -20.45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 45-24 (+18.6 Units / 23.16% ROI).

  • 60-13 against the Moneyline (+17.25 Units / 4.24% ROI)
  • 40-32 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 5.98% ROI)
  • 32-40 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -14.94% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 54 games (-24.95 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 93 games (-18.12 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 89 games (-17.30 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-16.90 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 38 games (-34.65 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-25.17 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 40 games (-22.55 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 54 games (-18.95 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 74 games (-18.40 Units / -23% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies are undefeated (7-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Grizzlies are undefeated (9-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .621

The Grizzlies were 7-43 (.140) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Thunder are 60-9 (.870) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .591

The Thunder are 18-4 (.818) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Thunder are 15-2 (.882) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Thunder are 87-26 (.770) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies averaged 11.2 fast break points per game (461 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder are shooting 82% from the free throw line (2,643/3,212) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.9 steals per game (644 steals/72 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Grizzlies have blocked 421 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (421 blocks/72 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.4 steals per game (750 steals/72 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,444 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (2,713/6,240) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (733 steals/77 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.