Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -11.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 210.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | BSSM

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 209.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 28-30 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 30-27 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+12.5 -105O 209.5 -115+525
Minnesota Timberwolves -12.5 -115U 209.5 -105-750

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 90.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+19.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+15.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+15.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 84 games (+21.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games at home (+18.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 40 of their last 68 games (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 28-30 (-5 Units / -7.83% ROI).

  • 20-38 against the Moneyline (+1.45 Units / 2.12% ROI)
  • 25-33 against the Over for game total points (-11.3 Units / -17.71% ROI)
  • 33-25 against the Under for game total points (+5.5 Units / 8.62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 30-27 (+0.25 Units / 0.39% ROI).

  • 41-17 against the Moneyline (+6 Units / 3.41% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -9.4% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Under for game total points (+0.35 Units / 0.55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 84 games (-30.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-23.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games at home (-20.00 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 52 games (-16.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 73 games (-15.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-27.95 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-25.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 87 games (-24.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-18.35 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Grizzlies are 9-20 (.310) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Timberwolves are 13-1 (.929) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Timberwolves are winless (0-6) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Timberwolves were 14-17 (.452) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Timberwolves are 12-8 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. GrizzliesWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 28

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have an eFG% of 52% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 48% at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (943/2,203) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 40% from three (363/918) on the road this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (643 points/53 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (667/1,697) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (331 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,645/3,735) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,857 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 8.0 steals per game (657 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 48% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.