Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

  • The Timberwolves are -1.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSM | FDSN

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 24-14 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 15-20 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+2.5 -115O 232.5 -110+105
Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 -105U 232.5 -110-130

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 65.7% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 53 of their last 83 games (+21.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+17.54 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+17.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 53 games (+16.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 57 of their last 88 games (+21.43 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+13.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+8.43 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 24-14 (+8.6 Units / 20.62% ROI).

  • 24-14 against the Moneyline (+3.15 Units / 3.86% ROI)
  • 23-15 against the Over for game total points (+6.5 Units / 15.55% ROI)
  • 15-23 against the Under for game total points (-10.3 Units / -24.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 15-20 (-7.05 Units / -17.3% ROI).

  • 20-17 against the Moneyline (-12.2 Units / -13.46% ROI)
  • 17-20 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -12.29% ROI)
  • 20-17 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 3.19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (-37.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 47 games at home (-22.90 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 98 games (-21.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Spread in 14 of their last 47 games at home (-20.20 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 53 games (-24.27 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-18.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 71 games (-17.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-16.37 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 70 games (-14.60 Units / -18% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Grizzlies are 2-32 (.059) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .219

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies are 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

The Grizzlies were 7-43 (.140) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Timberwolves are 10-3 (.769) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .661

The Timberwolves are 63-34 (.649) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

The Timberwolves were 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies are shooting 24% from three (31/127) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 1.20 points per shot (8,677 points/7,230 shots) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.3 fast break points per game (714 points/58 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Timberwolves averaged 14.2 turnovers per game (1,163 turnovers/82 games) last season — 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.5 blocks per game (384 blocks/59 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies have allowed 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (401 rebounds/38 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.6

The Grizzlies have allowed 19.5 offensive rebounds per game (741 rebounds/38 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,148 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (175 blocks/37 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves stole the ball 647 times last season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves blocked 496 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams


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