Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 15

  • The Warriors are -7.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDSM | NSBA

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies vs Warriors Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 7-5 against the spread, while the Warriors are 9-2 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+7.5 -115O 235.5 -105+240
Golden State Warriors -7.5 -105U 235.5 -115-300

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Friday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Warriors.

Warriors vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 58 games (+19.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 34 away games (+18.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 38 away games (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+11.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 24 games (+13.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 77 games (+13.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 37 of their last 62 games (+12.58 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 7-5 against the Moneyline (-4.15 Units / -18.91% ROI)
  • 8-4 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 4-8 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 9-2 (+6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI).

  • 9-2 against the Moneyline (+7.15 Units / 31.15% ROI)
  • 8-3 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI)
  • 3-8 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-17.93 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-17.70 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 64 games (-16.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-15.62 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 37 games at home (-14.75 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-25.17 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 38 away games (-17.45 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-16.48 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 82 games (-14.50 Units / -15% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies are 1-30 (.032) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .212

The Grizzlies are winless (0-21) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .151

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies were 11-32 (.256) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 34-4 (.895) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .684

The Warriors are 11-17 (.393) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Warriors are 25-3 (.893) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .824

The Warriors are 25-9 (.735) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Warriors vs. GrizzliesFriday‘s Game, Nov. 15

  • Golden State Warriors – No Injuries Reported
  • Memphis Grizzlies – No Injuries Reported

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies have averaged 60.3 points in the paint per game (724 points/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.5

The Grizzlies averaged 1.18 points per shot (4,262 points/3,600 shots) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Grizzlies averaged 11.6 fast break points per game (950 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (182/256) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors have averaged 65.1 points per game (716 points/11 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.3

The Warriors have made 15.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

The Warriors have averaged 14.3 assists per game (2,501 assists/175 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (319 blocks/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies stole the ball 673 times last season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.7 steals per game (762 steals/88 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have allowed an eFG% of 49% on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Warriors have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (133/417) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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