- The Bucks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The Atlanta Hawks visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Las Vegas, NV.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Hawks vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 11-15 against the spread, while the Bucks are 9-14 against the spread.
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Hawks vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Atlanta Hawks | O | ||
| Milwaukee Bucks | U |
Bucks vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Bucks.
Bucks vs Hawks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 games (+17.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 42 games (+16.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 62 games (+13.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+12.28 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 86 games (+10.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+7.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 11-15 (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).
- 14-12 against the Moneyline (+11.4 Units / 27.31% ROI)
- 17-9 against the Over for game total points (+7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI)
- 9-17 against the Under for game total points (-9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 9-14 (-6.4 Units / -24.24% ROI).
- 13-11 against the Moneyline (-5.95 Units / -9.7% ROI)
- 11-13 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI)
- 13-11 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 80 games (-57.65 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 88 games (-30.20 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.45 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-22.30 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.70 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 66 games (-22.75 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.40 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 66 games (-22.20 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.10 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.53 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Atlanta Hawks vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Hawks were 5-7 (.417) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Hawks were 2-20 (.091) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .178
The Hawks are 15-21 (.417) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Hawks are 18-26 (.409) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Bucks are 26-13 (.667) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Bucks are 4-1 (.800) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .587
The Bucks are 34-16 (.680) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Bucks were 34-3 (.919) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (1,295 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Hawks have averaged 57.2 points in the paint per game (1,488 points/26 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.4
The Hawks averaged 118.3 points per game (9,703 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Hawks have averaged 16.0 second chance points per game (417 points/26 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (408/557) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Bucks have averaged 10.8 second chance points per game (259 points/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Bucks have averaged 5.3 second chance points per game (127 points/24 games) in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have allowed 15.8 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5
The Hawks have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,753 rebounds/108 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hawks have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (940 rebounds/26 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (171 steals/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Bucks have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (880 rebounds/24 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Bucks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (729 steals/106 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
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