Hawks vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 27, 2024, 9:03 AM
  • The Cavaliers are -9.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | FDOH

The Atlanta Hawks visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Hawks vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 6-12 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 14-4 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+9.5 -105O 240.5 -110+360
Cleveland Cavaliers -9.5 -115U 240.5 -110-500

Cavaliers vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 66.7% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 34 games (+17.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games (+15.03 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+19.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 52 games (+18.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 95 games (+13.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 6-12 (-7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 7-11 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.17% ROI)
  • 13-5 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 37.88% ROI)
  • 5-13 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -46.97% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 14-4 (+9.6 Units / 48.48% ROI).

  • 17-1 against the Moneyline (+16.4 Units / 23.75% ROI)
  • 12-6 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 6-12 against the Under for game total points (-7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 47 games at home (-27.40 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 95 games (-26.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 52 games (-26.10 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 47 games at home (-26.05 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-17.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 85 games (-31.08 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 58 games (-22.30 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 58 games (-21.80 Units / -34% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Hawks were 14-20 (.412) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Hawks are 2-6 (.250) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .419

The Hawks were 8-26 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Hawks were 5-7 (.417) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Cavaliers are 15-1 (.938) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Cavaliers are 30-8 (.789) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Cavaliers are 9-1 (.900) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

The Cavaliers are 33-1 (.971) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 118.3 points per game (9,703 points/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Hawks had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Hawks have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.5

The Hawks averaged 15.4 second chance points per game (633 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 63% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 60% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have averaged 63.7 points per game (1,147 points/18 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.2

The Cavaliers are shooting 52% (830/1,595) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed 16.7 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.4

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 10.2 steals per game (174 steals/17 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (284/716) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have blocked 92 shots this season — 9th most among NBA teams

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (472 blocks/100 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Cavaliers have allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (243 points/210 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.