Hawks vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 18

  • The Celtics are -10.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | NBSB

The Atlanta Hawks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Boston, MA, MA, USA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Hawks vs Celtics Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 17-23 against the spread, while the Celtics are 16-24 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+9.5 -115O 235.5 -115+340
Boston Celtics -9.5 -105U 235.5 -105-450

Celtics vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Saturday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Celtics.

Celtics vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 56 games (+20.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 57 games (+18.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 76 games (+16.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+12.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.13 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 67 of their last 90 games (+19.37 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.73 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+10.22 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 17-23 (-8.3 Units / -18.86% ROI).

  • 21-19 against the Moneyline (+12.65 Units / 21.68% ROI)
  • 26-14 against the Over for game total points (+10.6 Units / 24.09% ROI)
  • 14-26 against the Under for game total points (-14.6 Units / -33.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 16-24 (-10.4 Units / -23.06% ROI).

  • 29-12 against the Moneyline (-33.45 Units / -12.95% ROI)
  • 18-23 against the Over for game total points (-7.3 Units / -16.19% ROI)
  • 23-18 against the Under for game total points (+3.2 Units / 7.1% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 71 games (-48.05 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 77 games (-46.34 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-30.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 77 games (-29.00 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-28.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 80 games (-27.10 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.05 Units / -20% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Hawks are 8-12 (.400) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Hawks are undefeated (8-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Hawks were 8-26 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Hawks are 17-2 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Celtics are 9-2 (.818) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .439

The Celtics are 24-6 (.800) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

The Celtics were 36-9 (.800) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Celtics are 20-4 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks have 23.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Hawks have averaged 29.7 assists per game (1,187 assists/40 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.3

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (169 assists/ 74 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Celtics have made 17.1 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 10.3 steals per game (412 steals/40 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (288 blocks/59 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Celtics have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,091 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics averaged 6.8 steals per game (556 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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