Hawks vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 3

  • The Grizzlies are -9.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 253.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | FDSM

The Atlanta Hawks visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN, USA.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Hawks vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 251.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 28-32 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 35-24 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+8.5 -105O 251.5 -105+
Memphis Grizzlies -8.5 -115U 251.5 -115+

Grizzlies vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Monday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 57.6% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 55 games (+18.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 76 games (+16.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.91 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 away games (+13.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+18.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+15.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 62 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 81 games (+12.15 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 28-32 (-7.2 Units / -10.92% ROI).

  • 27-33 against the Moneyline (+6.3 Units / 7.57% ROI)
  • 35-25 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • 25-35 against the Under for game total points (-13.5 Units / -20.45% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 35-24 (+8.6 Units / 13.05% ROI).

  • 38-22 against the Moneyline (+8.15 Units / 6.42% ROI)
  • 37-23 against the Over for game total points (+11.7 Units / 17.73% ROI)
  • 23-37 against the Under for game total points (-17.7 Units / -26.82% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 75 games (-30.02 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-20.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 26 games (-19.70 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 37 games at home (-18.87 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 78 games (-27.75 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 78 games (-24.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 62 games (-18.73 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.45 Units / -19% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Hawks are 7-3 (.700) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Hawks are 12-14 (.462) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Hawks are 10-22 (.312) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Hawks were 5-12 (.294) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies are undefeated (5-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Grizzlies are undefeated (8-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .628

The Grizzlies are 1-5 (.167) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks have averaged 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,093 rebounds/60 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1

The Hawks have averaged 116.6 points per game (6,997 points/60 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.5

The Hawks averaged 57.5 points per game (4,716 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies are shooting 28% from three (62/219) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks have 596 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have allowed 19.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,177 rebounds/60 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.1

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.9 steals per game (532 steals/60 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Grizzlies have allowed 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (634 rebounds/60 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.6

The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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