Hawks vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on WFAA | BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Hawks vs Mavericks Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 27-47 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 43-31 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+11.5 -105O 228.5 -115+500
Dallas Mavericks -11.5 -115U 228.5 -105-700

Mavericks vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 81.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 61.1% confidence.


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  • No trends found
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 27-47 (-24.7 Units / -30.34% ROI).

  • 34-40 against the Moneyline (-5.85 Units / -4.81% ROI)
  • 40-32 against the Over for game total points (+4.85 Units / 6.04% ROI)
  • 32-40 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -14.93% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 43-31 (+8.9 Units / 10.95% ROI).

  • 45-29 against the Moneyline (+5.85 Units / 3.87% ROI)
  • 35-39 against the Over for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.71% ROI)
  • 39-35 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 0.61% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games at home (-17.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 39 games at home (-16.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 23 games at home (-13.90 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 26 games at home (-13.90 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have not hit the 1Q Moneyline in any of their last 8 games at home (-13.35 Units / -87% ROI)
  • No trends found

Jump to:

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

Keys to the game – away

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. HawksThursday‘s Game, Apr. 4

  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Hawks have 23.5 free throw attempts per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Hawks shot 48% (3,658/7,574) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hawks have averaged 16.0 second chance points per game (591 points/37 games) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Offense Stories

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Away Team Defense Stories

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.