Hawks vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 1

  • The Nuggets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 246.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | ALT

The Atlanta Hawks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Hawks vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 15-18 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 13-17 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 49 games (+19.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+18.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 75 games (+14.93 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+13.27 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 15-18 (-4.8 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 18-15 against the Moneyline (+12.65 Units / 25.15% ROI)
  • 22-11 against the Over for game total points (+9.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 11-22 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 13-17 (-5.7 Units / -16.72% ROI).

  • 18-13 against the Moneyline (-5.4 Units / -7.64% ROI)
  • 21-10 against the Over for game total points (+10 Units / 29.33% ROI)
  • 10-21 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -38.42% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 75 games (-36.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 84 games (-32.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 46 games (-26.90 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 53 games (-22.50 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 65 games (-20.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 75 games (-25.95 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 73 games (-25.70 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-22.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-21.65 Units / -26% ROI)

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Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Hawks are 8-18 (.308) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

The Hawks were 5-7 (.417) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Hawks are undefeated (6-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .811

The Hawks are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585

The Nuggets are 15-4 (.789) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .611

The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Nuggets were 16-6 (.727) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks have averaged 117.8 points per game (3,889 points/33 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0

The Hawks have averaged 55.4 points in the paint per game (1,828 points/33 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.2

The Hawks have averaged 26.6 points in the paint per game (878 points/33 games) in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 20.4 fast break points per game (632 points/31 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have averaged 31.3 assists per game (970 assists/31 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (121 assists/ 45 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (186/452) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 10.4 steals per game (343 steals/33 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Hawks have allowed 15.7 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (810/2,051) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,198 rebounds/33 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,137 rebounds/31 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Nuggets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,083 rebounds/113 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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