Heat vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on SUN | NBSB

The Miami Heat visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Celtics Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 36-38 against the spread, while the Celtics are 35-39 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat O
Boston Celtics U

Celtics vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 78.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Celtics.

Celtics vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+19.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+15.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 23 away games (+14.40 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 41 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 81 games (+27.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games (+15.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 23 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games (+12.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 36-38 (-5.8 Units / -7.03% ROI).

  • 34-41 against the Moneyline (-15.65 Units / -12.18% ROI)
  • 38-37 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -3.27% ROI)
  • 37-38 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -5.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 35-39 (-7.9 Units / -9.58% ROI).

  • 56-19 against the Moneyline (-26.3 Units / -6.52% ROI)
  • 34-41 against the Over for game total points (-11.1 Units / -13.45% ROI)
  • 41-34 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 4.36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 95 games (-45.29 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 81 games (-40.38 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 95 games (-34.90 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 91 games (-20.88 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 94 games (-19.97 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 67 games (-22.83 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 54 games (-21.42 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 44 games (-19.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 37 games (-18.20 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 71 games (-17.50 Units / -21% ROI)

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Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Heat are 9-12 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Heat are 5-13 (.278) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Heat are 7-15 (.318) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Heat are 22-53 (.293) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .341

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Celtics are 104-32 (.765) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Celtics were 23-4 (.852) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Celtics are 62-15 (.805) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Celtics are 31-7 (.816) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (909 points/157 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Heat have averaged 11.7 second chance points per game (915 points/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (8,327 points/157 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 17.2 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Celtics have made 17.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics have made 16.8 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (271 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (283 blocks/75 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (563 blocks/157 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,101 steals/157 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (17,034 points/14,214 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28


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