Heat vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 24, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -14.5 favorites vs. the Heat
  • Total (Over/Under): 204.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | NBSB | SUN

The Miami Heat visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Heat vs Celtics Over/Under is 205.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 42-41 against the spread, while the Celtics are 42-36 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat+14.5 -110O 205.5 -110+775
Boston Celtics -14.5 -110U 205.5 -110-1400

Celtics vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 94.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Celtics.

Celtics vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 62.9% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+20.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 94 games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 95 games (+15.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 away games (+14.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 away games (+14.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 86 games (+28.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games (+21.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 31 games (+20.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 42 games at home (+19.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 64 games (+17.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 42-41 (-3.1 Units / -3.32% ROI).

  • 47-38 against the Moneyline (-0.5 Units / -0.28% ROI)
  • 36-49 against the Over for game total points (-17.9 Units / -19.14% ROI)
  • 49-36 against the Under for game total points (+9.4 Units / 10.05% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 42-36 (+2.4 Units / 2.63% ROI).

  • 65-18 against the Moneyline (+8.95 Units / 2.04% ROI)
  • 43-39 against the Over for game total points (+0.15 Units / 0.16% ROI)
  • 39-43 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 98 games (-33.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-24.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-23.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 98 games (-17.90 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 99 games (-17.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-27.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 96 games (-20.90 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

Keys to the game – away

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Celtics vs. HeatWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 24

  • Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick White (Boston Celtics): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Neck, Out

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

Away Team Offense Stories

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 16.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

The Celtics have made 15.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (523 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (258 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,221 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (18,093 points/14,909 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.