- The Clippers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | FDSC
The Miami Heat visit Intuit Dome to take on the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Inglewood, CA, USA.
The Clippers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Clippers Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 17-20 against the spread, while the Clippers are against the spread.
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Heat vs. Clippers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | +8.5 -110 | O 215.5 -105 | +290 |
Los Angeles Clippers | -8.5 -110 | U 215.5 -115 | -375 |
Clippers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Clippers will win Monday‘s game with 79.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Clippers.
Clippers vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 66.1% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 88 games (+19.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 away games (+18.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 37 away games (+15.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+12.53 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games (+11.96 Units / 25% ROI)
Clippers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The LA Clippers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The LA Clippers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+11.59 Units / 26% ROI)
- The LA Clippers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The LA Clippers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The LA Clippers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 83 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 17-20 (-5 Units / -12.29% ROI).
- 20-17 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 3.83% ROI)
- 20-17 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 3.19% ROI)
- 17-20 against the Under for game total points (-5 Units / -12.29% ROI)
Los Angeles Clippers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Clippers have gone ( Units / ROI).
- Home Moneyline Record against the Moneyline (Home ML Units Units / Home ML ROI ROI)
- Home Over Record against the Over for game total points (Home Over Units Units / Home Over ROI ROI)
- Home Under Record against the Under for game total points (Home Under Units Units / Home Under ROI ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Clippers:
- The LA Clippers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-21.16 Units / -22% ROI)
- The LA Clippers have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-20.25 Units / -22% ROI)
- The LA Clippers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.22 Units / -20% ROI)
- The LA Clippers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 54 games (-19.15 Units / -31% ROI)
- The LA Clippers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 66 games (-17.85 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 88 games (-31.68 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.65 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-20.55 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 87 games (-17.45 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 88 games (-14.45 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Clippers
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Clippers
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Clippers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Clippers Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Clippers
The Heat are 27-17 (.614) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Heat are 16-2 (.889) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .837
The Heat were 3-9 (.250) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
Los Angeles Clippers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Clippers are 64-42 (.604) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508
The Clippers are 4-12 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .344
The Clippers were 14-1 (.933) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
The Clippers are 39-18 (.684) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat have made 14.2 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
Los Angeles Clippers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Clippers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,097 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Clippers shot 38% from three (1,036/2,719) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Clippers shot 49% (3,473/7,108) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Clippers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (440 assists/ 313 TOs) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (220 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Los Angeles Clippers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Clippers have averaged 9.7 steals per game (359 steals/37 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Clippers have averaged 8.4 steals per game (999 steals/119 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Clippers have 999 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Clippers stole the ball 640 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams
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