Heat vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 26, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat are -5.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDCH | SUN

The Miami Heat visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Charlotte, NC.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Heat vs Hornets Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 0-1 against the spread, while the Hornets are 2-0 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat-7.5 -105O 221.5 -105-275
Charlotte Hornets +7.5 -115U 221.5 -115+220

Hornets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Saturday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Hornets.

Hornets vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 away games (+20.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+16.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 89 games (+12.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 33 games (+15.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 games at home (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 41 games (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 80 games (+9.20 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Heat have gone 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 against the Moneyline (-1.3 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 1-0 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-1 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Hornets have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 1-1 against the Moneyline (+1.75 Units / 87.5% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 1-1 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 50 games (-22.85 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-18.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 60 games (-25.25 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 59 games (-21.05 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-18.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-17.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 81 games (-15.70 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Hornets allowed 116.8 points per game last season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Hornets allowed opponents to shoot 49% last season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Heat were 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Hornets were 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Hornets were 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Hornets were 7-28 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Hornets vs. HeatSaturday‘s Game, Oct. 26

  • Charlotte Hornets – No Injuries Reported
  • Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat are shooting 84% from the free throw line (1,572/1,873) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

The Heat have averaged 52.8 points per game (8,719 points/165 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets averaged 109.2 points per game (4,479 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Hornets shot 45% (1,655/3,654) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hornets had 18.4 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Hornets had a TS% of 49% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (531 blocks/165 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (266 blocks/83 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hornets averaged 4.5 blocks per game (371 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hornets averaged 7.7 steals per game (634 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Hornets averaged 5.2 blocks per game (425 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.