- The Heat are -5.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | KJZZ
The Miami Heat visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Salt Lake City, UT.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Jazz Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 16-19 against the spread, while the Jazz are 18-16 against the spread.
Bet now on Jazz vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | O | ||
| Utah Jazz | U |
Jazz vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Thursday‘s game with 78.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Jazz.
Jazz vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 65.3% confidence.
Bet now on Jazz vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 88 games (+19.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 away games (+16.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 away games (+13.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+10.53 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 away games (+10.45 Units / 27% ROI)
Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.67 Units / 50% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 16-19 (-4.9 Units / -12.73% ROI).
- 18-17 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 0.94% ROI)
- 20-15 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 9.09% ROI)
- 15-20 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 18-16 (+0.4 Units / 1.04% ROI).
- 9-26 against the Moneyline (-5.8 Units / -16.57% ROI)
- 20-15 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 9.09% ROI)
- 15-20 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.00 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 77 games (-22.80 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 75 games (-22.65 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.87 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 77 games (-19.45 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 88 games (-31.63 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.50 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-21.55 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 85 games (-16.85 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 87 games (-15.55 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Utah Jazz
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Utah Jazz
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Utah Jazz Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Utah Jazz Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
The Heat are 20-5 (.800) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701
The Heat are 21-3 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.
The Heat are 27-2 (.931) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819
Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Jazz are 3-10 (.231) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Jazz are 1-9 (.100) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413
The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Jazz are 6-31 (.162) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .367
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Jazz have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (981 turnovers/117 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Jazz have averaged 16.5 turnovers per game (1,928 turnovers/117 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Jazz have averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (326 turnovers/35 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (129 blocks/35 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends
The Jazz have allowed 18.9 fast break points per game (2,214 points/117 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.7
The Jazz have allowed 20.1 fast break points per game (1,885 points/94 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.7
The Jazz allowed 21.6 fast break points per game (884 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8
The Jazz have averaged 6.9 steals per game (243 steals/35 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
Bet now on Jazz vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
