- The Lakers are -5.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | SPEC
The Miami Heat visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA, USA.
The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Heat vs Lakers Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 17-21 against the spread, while the Lakers are 18-19 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | +5.5 -115 | O 214.5 -105 | +170 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | -5.5 -105 | U 214.5 -115 | -210 |
Lakers vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Wednesday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Lakers.
Lakers vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 56.2% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 88 games (+17.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 away games (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 away games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 43 games (+12.96 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 away games (+12.53 Units / 26% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 76 games (+18.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 84 games (+17.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+12.37 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+11.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 17-21 (-6.1 Units / -14.59% ROI).
- 20-18 against the Moneyline (+1.6 Units / 2.32% ROI)
- 20-18 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.48% ROI)
- 18-20 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -9.57% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 18-19 (-2.9 Units / -7.13% ROI).
- 20-17 against the Moneyline (-2.3 Units / -3.4% ROI)
- 17-20 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -12.3% ROI)
- 20-17 against the Under for game total points (+1.25 Units / 3.07% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 85 games (-26.17 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 34 games (-20.42 Units / -49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.15 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-17.30 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 85 games (-17.03 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 88 games (-29.53 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.65 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-20.60 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 88 games (-16.00 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 88 games (-14.50 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Heat are 27-17 (.614) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Heat were 3-9 (.250) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Heat are 25-10 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Heat were 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Lakers were 23-13 (.639) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Lakers are 52-38 (.578) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491
The Lakers are 2-8 (.200) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .295
The Lakers were 18-1 (.947) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,747/2,102) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (589 points/119 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Lakers have averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (1,323 points/119 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (223 blocks/62 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,306 rebounds/119 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Lakers have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (179 blocks/37 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Lakers have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,259 rebounds/37 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
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