- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SUN | YES
The Miami Heat visit Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Brooklyn, NY, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Nets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 18-25 against the spread, while the Nets are 23-21 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Nets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | O | ||
| Brooklyn Nets | U |
Nets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Nets.
Nets vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 66.4% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 away games (+15.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 away games (+15.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 away games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 away games (+10.38 Units / 21% ROI)
Nets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 47 games (+19.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 47 games (+17.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 79 games (+14.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+11.77 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+9.53 Units / 24% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 18-25 (-9.5 Units / -20.08% ROI).
- 21-22 against the Moneyline (-4.3 Units / -5.56% ROI)
- 24-19 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 6.55% ROI)
- 19-24 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -15.64% ROI)
Brooklyn Nets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 23-21 (-0.15 Units / -0.3% ROI).
- 14-31 against the Moneyline (+5.1 Units / 10.99% ROI)
- 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.67% ROI)
- 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.42% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nets:
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-26.75 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-22.92 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 34 games at home (-20.15 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 48 games (-18.05 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 74 games (-16.80 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 88 games (-20.88 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 75 games (-18.75 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 64 games (-15.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 86 games (-15.20 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 64 games (-14.10 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Brooklyn Nets
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Brooklyn Nets
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Brooklyn Nets Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Brooklyn Nets Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets
The Heat are 2-12 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .293
The Heat are 5-7 (.417) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Heat are 5-18 (.217) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339
The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Nets are 3-11 (.214) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .561
The Nets are 3-10 (.231) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559
The Nets are 5-9 (.357) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nets are 8-21 (.276) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .377
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat have averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (574 turnovers/43 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7
Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nets have averaged 105.9 points per game (4,764 points/45 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0
The Nets are shooting 44% (1,696/3,836) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Nets have averaged 12.6 second chance points per game (568 points/45 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Nets have averaged 22.3 points in the paint per game (4,196 points/188 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nets have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (168 blocks/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nets have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,454 rebounds/45 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (883 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Nets have averaged 7.3 steals per game (327 steals/45 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
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