Heat vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Heat are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | FDDT

The Miami Heat visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Heat vs Pistons Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 4-5 against the spread, while the Pistons are 7-4 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat-1.5 -105O 214.5 -110-120
Detroit Pistons +1.5 -115U 214.5 -110+100

Pistons vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Tuesday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Pistons.

Pistons vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+19.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 games (+14.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+12.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+12.97 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.00 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 4-5 (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 4-5 against the Moneyline (-0.2 Units / -1.2% ROI)
  • 4-5 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 5-4 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 7-4 (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 4-7 against the Moneyline (-0.85 Units / -7.49% ROI)
  • 3-8 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI)
  • 8-3 against the Under for game total points (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 83 games (-31.65 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 51 games (-20.40 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 69 games (-18.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 42 games (-18.20 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 67 games (-21.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 68 games (-21.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-20.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.30 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

Keys to the game – away

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Pistons vs. HeatTuesday‘s Game, Nov. 12

  • Detroit Pistons – No Injuries Reported
  • Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 52.8 points per game (9,138 points/173 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4

The Heat have averaged 20.4 points in the paint per game (184 points/9 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,351 assists/ 1,438 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (565 blocks/173 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (287 blocks/87 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (278 blocks/86 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 5.2 steals per game (57 steals/11 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 steals per game (588 steals/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 steals per game (293 steals/46 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.