Heat vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 02, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Heat are -4.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | SNET

The Miami Heat visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Toronto, ON.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Raptors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 8-9 against the spread, while the Raptors are 13-7 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat O
Toronto Raptors U

Raptors vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 78.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Raptors.

Raptors vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.7% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 away games (+18.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.17 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+13.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 48 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+10.31 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 8-9 (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI).

  • 9-8 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 3.34% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 13-7 (+5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI).

  • 5-15 against the Moneyline (-5.3 Units / -26.37% ROI)
  • 10-10 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 10-10 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 83 games (-33.45 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-19.11 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 39 games at home (-14.85 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 22 games at home (-14.50 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.28 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-22.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 67 games (-18.95 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Heat were 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat were 3-9 (.250) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors are 9-43 (.173) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Raptors are 1-24 (.040) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .150

The Raptors were 10-39 (.204) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,662/1,997) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

The Heat have averaged 11.7 second chance points per game (1,053 points/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Heat averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (488 points/41 games) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.6 fast break points per game (1,009 points/49 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Raptors have averaged 8.7 fast break points per game (1,577 points/181 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Raptors have averaged 18.4 fast break points per game (3,336 points/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (1,875 points/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (578 blocks/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (292 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (286 blocks/88 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (788 steals/90 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,541 steals/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,975 rebounds/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.