- The Spurs are -2.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | KENS
The Miami Heat visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Antonio, TX, USA.
The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Spurs Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 20-26 against the spread, while the Spurs are 22-23 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | +2.5 -110 | O 221.5 -110 | +118 |
| San Antonio Spurs | -2.5 -110 | U 221.5 -110 | -145 |
Spurs vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Spurs.
Spurs vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 41 away games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 away games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 78 games (+23.02 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 68 games (+21.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 50 of their last 78 games (+18.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 20-26 (-8.6 Units / -17% ROI).
- 23-23 against the Moneyline (-3.3 Units / -4.03% ROI)
- 26-20 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 7.91% ROI)
- 20-26 against the Under for game total points (-8.6 Units / -17% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 22-23 (-3.3 Units / -6.67% ROI).
- 21-24 against the Moneyline (+1.5 Units / 2.54% ROI)
- 25-19 against the Over for game total points (+4.1 Units / 8.28% ROI)
- 19-25 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -17.17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-18.53 Units / -20% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.77 Units / -20% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-17.56 Units / -39% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 72 games (-16.03 Units / -19% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 78 games (-14.45 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-20.10 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-17.53 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 67 games (-17.00 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 away games (-16.00 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-14.15 Units / -12% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Heat are undefeated (6-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .730
The Heat are 5-7 (.417) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .534
The Heat are 17-3 (.850) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .750
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Spurs are 4-68 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .303
The Spurs are 6-53 (.102) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330
The Spurs are 4-19 (.174) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 5.1 second chance points per game (234 points/46 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 1.23 points per shot (21,134 points/17,126 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (10,012 points/8,332 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (454 blocks/128 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 6.6 blocks per game (834 blocks/127 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Spurs have averaged 7.0 blocks per game (314 blocks/45 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Spurs have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,656 rebounds/45 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Spurs have averaged 6.7 blocks per game (444 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
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