- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SUN | FDOK
The Miami Heat visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 22-29 against the spread, while the Thunder are 32-18 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | O | ||
| Oklahoma City Thunder | U |
Thunder vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Thunder.
Thunder vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 67.4% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 45 away games (+18.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 away games (+15.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 away games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 away games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 84 games (+21.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 67 games (+17.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 69 games (+17.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 22-29 (-9.9 Units / -17.65% ROI).
- 25-26 against the Moneyline (-5.9 Units / -6.63% ROI)
- 27-24 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.07% ROI)
- 24-27 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -10.16% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 32-18 (+12.2 Units / 20.93% ROI).
- 43-10 against the Moneyline (+14 Units / 4.85% ROI)
- 29-23 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 6.35% ROI)
- 23-29 against the Under for game total points (-8.9 Units / -15.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-15.40 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 34 games (-15.20 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-14.18 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 25 games (-13.80 Units / -50% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 88 games (-13.30 Units / -13% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-19.73 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.25 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 81 games (-14.50 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 72 games (-14.10 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 44 away games (-14.10 Units / -28% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Heat are 6-20 (.231) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .342
The Heat are 28-20 (.583) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
The Heat were 18-7 (.720) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Thunder are 17-4 (.810) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .441
The Thunder are 21-3 (.875) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Thunder are 26-9 (.743) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Thunder are 41-9 (.820) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat have averaged 5.2 second chance points per game (263 points/51 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Heat had an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (622 turnovers/52 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Thunder are shooting 82% from the free throw line (2,288/2,775) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (473 blocks/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 11.1 steals per game (576 steals/52 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,270 steals/134 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have allowed an eFG% of 50% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
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