Heat vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 02, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat are -8.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | SUN

The Miami Heat visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Washington, DC.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Heat vs Wizards Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 21-27 against the spread, while the Wizards are 22-24 against the spread.


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Heat vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat-7.5 -115O 228.5 -110-350
Washington Wizards +7.5 -105U 228.5 -110+260

Wizards vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 78.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Heat and Wizards, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Wizards vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.


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  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 away games (+20.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 games (+19.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+17.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 90 games (+15.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 80 games (+15.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+14.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.60 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 21-27 (-8.65 Units / -16.38% ROI).

  • 25-23 against the Moneyline (-4.45 Units / -5.76% ROI)
  • 20-28 against the Over for game total points (-10.8 Units / -20.45% ROI)
  • 28-20 against the Under for game total points (+6 Units / 11.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 22-24 (-4.4 Units / -8.51% ROI).

  • 9-38 against the Moneyline (-24.95 Units / -51.07% ROI)
  • 22-24 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -8.69% ROI)
  • 24-22 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 67 games (-31.15 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-23.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 52 games (-19.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-18.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 78 games (-18.40 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 94 games (-26.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 97 games (-23.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 80 games (-23.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 57 games (-18.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 59 games (-18.50 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Heat are 1-6 (.143) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .403

The Heat were 34-10 (.773) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Heat are 12-6 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Heat were 10-1 (.909) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Wizards are 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Wizards are winless (0-4) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Wizards are 4-27 (.129) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Wizards are 4-37 (.098) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363

Injury Report: Wizards vs. HeatFriday‘s Game, Feb. 2

  • Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Game Time Decision
  • Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat have averaged 53.7 points per game (2,578 points/48 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.3

The Heat have averaged 5.2 fast break points per game (671 points/130 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Heat have averaged 109.8 points per game (14,279 points/130 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.0

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 14.2 offensive rebounds per game (666 rebounds/47 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.6

The Wizards have averaged 56.0 points in the paint per game (2,630 points/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Wizards have averaged 17.2 fast break points per game (808 points/47 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Wizards have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (232 points/47 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (161 blocks/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (204 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,649 rebounds/48 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 19.1 second chance points per game (420 points/22 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 17.1 second chance points per game (804 points/47 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards have allowed 19.1 offensive rebounds per game (898 rebounds/47 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.6

The Wizards have allowed 8.8 second chance points per game (415 points/47 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.