- The Heat are -10.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
- Watch the game on MNMT | SUN
The Miami Heat visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Washington, DC.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Wizards Over/Under is 212.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 35-37 against the spread, while the Wizards are 33-40 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | -11.5 -110 | O 212.5 -105 | -650 |
Washington Wizards | +11.5 -110 | U 212.5 -115 | +475 |
Wizards vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 87.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Wizards.
Wizards vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 58.0% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+27.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 82 games (+23.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 97 games (+16.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+16.65 Units / 15% ROI)
Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+9.10 Units / 63% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 35-37 (-5.7 Units / -7.1% ROI).
- 40-33 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -1.46% ROI)
- 27-46 against the Over for game total points (-23.6 Units / -29.39% ROI)
- 46-27 against the Under for game total points (+16.3 Units / 20.3% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 33-40 (-11 Units / -13.51% ROI).
- 14-60 against the Moneyline (-30.7 Units / -39.08% ROI)
- 36-37 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.77% ROI)
- 37-36 against the Under for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 67 games (-22.10 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 21 games (-16.60 Units / -74% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 68 games (-16.40 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 3 of their last 20 games (-16.35 Units / -72% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 12 of their last 37 games at home (-15.50 Units / -38% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 82 games (-31.40 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 100 games (-30.00 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 89 games (-26.15 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 42 games (-22.90 Units / -47% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Heat were 34-10 (.773) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Heat are 13-2 (.867) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .694
The Heat are 14-4 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Heat are 10-12 (.455) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .467
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Wizards are 3-35 (.079) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433
The Wizards are 6-42 (.125) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Wizards are 13-61 (.176) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438
The Wizards are winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .383
Injury Report: Wizards vs. Heat – Sunday‘s Game, Mar. 31
- Isaiah Livers (Washington Wizards): Hip, Out
- Deni Avdija (Washington Wizards): Heel, Out
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
- Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
- Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
- Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
- Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Heat are shooting 43% (371/869) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have averaged 18.9 fast break points per game (720 points/38 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Wizards have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (663 points/74 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Wizards have averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,098 points/74 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.7
The Wizards averaged 113.2 points per game (9,279 points/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (248 blocks/78 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (488 blocks/155 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (245 blocks/73 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have allowed 58.6 points in the paint per game (4,336 points/74 games) this season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.4
The Wizards have allowed 16.5 second chance points per game (1,224 points/74 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Wizards have allowed 17.7 second chance points per game (638 points/36 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Wizards have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,504 rebounds/74 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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