- The Heat are -9.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | SUN | MNMT
The Miami Heat visit Mexico City Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in .
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Wizards Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 1-3 against the spread, while the Wizards are 2-2 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | -9.5 -110 | O 224.5 -110 | -450 |
Washington Wizards | +9.5 -110 | U 224.5 -110 | +340 |
Wizards vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the will win Saturday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Wizards.
Wizards vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 away games (+21.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 63 games (+15.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 59 games (+19.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 24 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- 2-2 against the Moneyline (-0.3 Units / -3.7% ROI)
- 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 2-2 against the Moneyline (+2.3 Units / 57.5% ROI)
- 3-1 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
- 1-3 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 32 games (-22.45 Units / -62% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 72 games (-21.30 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-16.75 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 14 of their last 42 games at home (-15.70 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 82 games (-14.70 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 63 games (-24.45 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 62 games (-22.35 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-19.00 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 64 games (-17.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 84 games (-17.00 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Wizards allowed opponents to shoot 50% last season — T-worst in the NBA.
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Wizards allowed 123.0 points per game last season — worst in the NBA.
The Heat were 16-6 (.727) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609
The Heat were 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Wizards were winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Wizards are 14-68 (.171) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434
The Wizards were 7-20 (.259) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Injury Report: Wizards vs. Heat – Saturday‘s Game, Nov. 2
- Washington Wizards – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Heat have averaged 5.3 fast break points per game (897 points/168 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7
The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Wizards averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (937 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (271 blocks/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (543 blocks/168 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (272 blocks/85 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Wizards allowed 29.7 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4
The Wizards averaged 6.8 steals per game (561 steals/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
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