- The Heat are -9.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
- Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
- Watch the game on FDCH | SUN
The Charlotte Hornets visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL, USA.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Hornets vs Heat Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 31-30 against the spread, while the Heat are 29-33 against the spread.
Bet now on Heat vs Hornets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Hornets vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Charlotte Hornets | +9.5 -110 | O 216.5 -110 | +340 |
| Miami Heat | -9.5 -110 | U 216.5 -110 | -450 |
Heat vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 79.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Heat.
Heat vs Hornets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 57.3% confidence.
Bet now on Heat vs Hornets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+14.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 58 games (+12.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 77 games (+12.62 Units / 16% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+12.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 51 of their last 89 games (+10.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 31-30 (-2.05 Units / -2.96% ROI).
- 15-48 against the Moneyline (-18.9 Units / -27.27% ROI)
- 23-39 against the Over for game total points (-19.9 Units / -28.72% ROI)
- 39-23 against the Under for game total points (+13.7 Units / 19.77% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 29-33 (-7.3 Units / -10.53% ROI).
- 29-34 against the Moneyline (-11.05 Units / -10.42% ROI)
- 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
- 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -9.09% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 55 games (-20.03 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 42 games (-16.07 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 games at home (-14.90 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 84 games (-14.70 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 84 games (-13.45 Units / -14% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 79 games (-37.10 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-26.55 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.05 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 79 games (-24.88 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 80 games (-24.05 Units / -29% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Charlotte Hornets
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Charlotte Hornets vs. Miami Heat
- Charlotte Hornets Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Charlotte Hornets Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Hornets were 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Hornets are 6-21 (.222) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Hornets are 5-42 (.106) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .389
The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets
The Heat are 26-5 (.839) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.
The Heat are 18-3 (.857) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753
The Heat are 6-18 (.250) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .387
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets have averaged 1.17 points per shot (6,637 points/5,674 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Hornets have an eFG% of 50% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Hornets have averaged 1.18 points per shot (7,334 points/6,198 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Hornets have averaged 104.8 points per game (7,334 points/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.3
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 5.5 second chance points per game (344 points/63 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Heat have averaged 11.6 second chance points per game (1,678 points/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Heat have averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (836 points/145 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Heat averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (488 points/41 games) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hornets have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,210 rebounds/63 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Hornets averaged 4.5 blocks per game (371 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Hornets averaged 6.9 steals per game (562 steals/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (517 blocks/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (241 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (237 blocks/63 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Bet now on Heat vs Hornets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
