- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FDCH | SUN
The Charlotte Hornets visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Hornets vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 34-34 against the spread, while the Heat are 31-38 against the spread.
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Hornets vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Charlotte Hornets | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 66.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hornets and Heat.
Heat vs Hornets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.7% confidence.
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Hornets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+14.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 games (+14.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+13.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Charlotte Hornets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 34-34 (-3.45 Units / -4.48% ROI).
- 18-52 against the Moneyline (-16 Units / -20.97% ROI)
- 26-43 against the Over for game total points (-21.3 Units / -27.66% ROI)
- 43-26 against the Under for game total points (+14.4 Units / 18.7% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 31-38 (-10.8 Units / -14.02% ROI).
- 29-41 against the Moneyline (-21.25 Units / -18.29% ROI)
- 36-34 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.82% ROI)
- 34-36 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 39 games (-24.60 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 49 games (-21.82 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 62 games (-21.43 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 32 games (-18.90 Units / -51% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 66 games (-16.00 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hornets:
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 83 games (-36.25 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-26.70 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.43 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 83 games (-24.43 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-22.68 Units / -28% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Charlotte Hornets
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Charlotte Hornets vs. Miami Heat
- Charlotte Hornets Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Charlotte Hornets Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Hornets were 2-10 (.167) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Hornets were winless (0-15) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
The Hornets were 2-26 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Hornets are 13-63 (.171) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets
The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Heat are 6-12 (.333) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets have averaged 1.18 points per shot (7,408 points/6,279 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Hornets had 18.4 free throw attempts per game last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Hornets are shooting 43% (2,694/6,279) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Hornets have averaged 12.2 fast break points per game (853 points/70 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 52.8 points per game (8,027 points/152 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 11.6 second chance points per game (1,765 points/152 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Heat have averaged 52.3 points per game (3,659 points/70 games) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hornets have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,442 rebounds/70 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Hornets averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,709 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hornets have averaged 6.7 steals per game (519 steals/77 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Hornets have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,100 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (547 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (267 blocks/70 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (261 blocks/75 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
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