Hornets vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 17

Charlotte Hornets logo on the left and New Orleans Pelicans logo on the right
  • The Pelicans are -12.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | BSCH

The Charlotte Hornets visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Hornets vs Pelicans Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hornets are 14-23 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 23-17 against the spread.


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Hornets vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Charlotte Hornets+12.5 -115O 229.5 -110+500
New Orleans Pelicans -12.5 -105U 229.5 -110-700

Pelicans vs Hornets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 86.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Hornets and Pelicans, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pelicans vs Hornets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 48 of their last 74 games (+20.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+17.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 28 away games (+15.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 68 games (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 61 games (+29.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 55 games (+20.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 61 games (+20.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 55 games (+15.05 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 14-23 (-11.2 Units / -27.62% ROI).

  • 8-29 against the Moneyline (-9.15 Units / -23.67% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -7.13% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.97% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 23-17 (+4.35 Units / 9.66% ROI).

  • 24-17 against the Moneyline (+2.85 Units / 3.97% ROI)
  • 20-21 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -6.87% ROI)
  • 21-20 against the Under for game total points (-1 Units / -2.22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-27.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 76 games (-19.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 74 games (-28.75 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 74 games (-27.80 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 74 games (-25.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-24.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 74 games (-24.30 Units / -32% ROI)

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Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Hornets are 2-6 (.250) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Hornets are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .411

The Hornets are 1-9 (.100) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Hornets were 12-26 (.316) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Pelicans are 7-1 (.875) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best in the NBA. The Hornets have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 12-6 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Pelicans were 2-16 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Pelicans are 12-10 (.545) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. HornetsWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 17

  • Matt Ryan (New Orleans Pelicans): Elbow, Out
  • Larry Nance Jr. (New Orleans Pelicans): Ribs, Out
  • Cody Martin (Charlotte Hornets): Knee, Out
  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Out
  • Frank Ntilikina (Charlotte Hornets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Game Time Decision

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets are shooting 45% from three (78/173) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets are shooting 45% (2,332/5,158) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hornets have averaged 1.22 points per shot (13,106 points/10,723 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,196 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pelicans have 25.4 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.1

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,097 assists/ 546 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,207 rebounds/37 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hornets blocked 425 shots last season — tied for 8th most among NBA teams

The Hornets allowed 11.2 fast break points per game (459 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Hornets have allowed an eFG% of 57% this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (262/822) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 4.1 blocks per game (337 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (340 steals/41 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (749/2,313) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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