Jazz vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 21

  • The Spurs are -2.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | FDSW

The Utah Jazz visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Jazz vs Spurs Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 7-7 against the spread, while the Spurs are 7-8 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz O
San Antonio Spurs U

Spurs vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Thursday‘s game with 70.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Spurs.

Spurs vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.6% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+9.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 64 games (+22.89 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 38 games (+21.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 41 of their last 64 games (+15.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+12.40 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 3-11 against the Moneyline (-3.7 Units / -26.43% ROI)
  • 6-8 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • 8-6 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI).

  • 7-8 against the Moneyline (+1.15 Units / 5.48% ROI)
  • 7-8 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI)
  • 8-7 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 80 games (-22.48 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.02 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 55 games (-18.37 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 77 games (-31.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 83 games (-29.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 69 games (-25.40 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 83 games (-22.05 Units / -22% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are winless (0-7) when losing the rebounding margin this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418

The Jazz are 1-24 (.040) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .177

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Spurs are 6-51 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .331

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 4-19 (.174) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .419

The Spurs are 25-74 (.253) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (785 turnovers/96 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (139 assists/ 115 TOs) at home this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Jazz have averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (130 turnovers/14 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 1.20 points per shot (9,664 points/8,057 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs have averaged 5.6 fast break points per game (84 points/15 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Spurs are shooting 41% (215/520) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Spurs have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.4

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz allowed 18.4 fast break points per game (1,510 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz averaged 6.5 steals per game (537 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Jazz have averaged 6.7 steals per game (645 steals/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (549 rebounds/15 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (112 steals/15 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Spurs have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (298 blocks/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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