Jazz vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 11

  • The Suns are -11.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | AZFS | KJZZ

The Utah Jazz visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Jazz vs Suns Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 19-16 against the spread, while the Suns are 12-23 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+10.5 -105O 229.5 -110+450
Phoenix Suns -10.5 -115U 229.5 -110-650

Suns vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Suns.

Suns vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 22 away games (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+15.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 85 games (+14.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.23 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.40 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 19-16 (+1.4 Units / 3.54% ROI).

  • 9-27 against the Moneyline (-6.8 Units / -18.89% ROI)
  • 20-16 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • 16-20 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -15.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 12-23 (-13.3 Units / -33.59% ROI).

  • 17-19 against the Moneyline (-9.45 Units / -13.57% ROI)
  • 16-20 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • 20-16 against the Under for game total points (+2.4 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 70 games (-27.27 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.41 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 67 games (-22.20 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-21.13 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 78 games (-23.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.87 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 78 games (-18.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.50 Units / -20% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Jazz are 3-10 (.231) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Jazz are winless (0-14) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .383

The Jazz are 2-15 (.118) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA. The Suns have made 14.0 three-pointers per game this season — T-10th-highest in the NBA.

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Suns are 1-8 (.111) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Suns were 41-26 (.612) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Suns were 17-9 (.654) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Suns are 26-10 (.722) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have averaged 16.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest in the NBA.

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (989 turnovers/118 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Jazz have averaged 16.9 turnovers per game (1,030 turnovers/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Jazz have averaged 16.5 turnovers per game (1,945 turnovers/118 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (889 assists/ 660 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Suns have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (671 points/118 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns had a TS% of 53% last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Suns have averaged 6.6 fast break points per game (237 points/36 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 18.9 fast break points per game (2,231 points/118 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.7

The Jazz have allowed 20.1 fast break points per game (1,885 points/94 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.7

The Jazz have allowed 17.9 fast break points per game (3,345 points/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz have averaged 7.0 steals per game (252 steals/36 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns have blocked 338 shots at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,272 rebounds/118 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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