Jazz vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Utah Jazz visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Jazz vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 36-30 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 31-35 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 65.0% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+14.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games (+14.87 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 games (+13.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 39 games (+19.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 100 games (+17.72 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 60 of their last 100 games (+13.53 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+10.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 36-30 (+3 Units / 4.07% ROI).

  • 15-52 against the Moneyline (-20 Units / -29.5% ROI)
  • 40-27 against the Over for game total points (+10.3 Units / 13.98% ROI)
  • 27-40 against the Under for game total points (-17 Units / -23.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 31-35 (-7.55 Units / -10.08% ROI).

  • 39-29 against the Moneyline (-12.35 Units / -7.08% ROI)
  • 37-31 against the Over for game total points (+2.9 Units / 3.88% ROI)
  • 31-37 against the Under for game total points (-9.7 Units / -12.97% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 99 games (-27.25 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 100 games (-22.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 92 games (-19.30 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 39 games (-18.10 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-24.75 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 62 games (-23.70 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 83 games (-21.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 58 games (-18.28 Units / -31% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Jazz are 4-26 (.133) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are 3-26 (.103) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373

The Jazz are 9-48 (.158) when allowing 110 or more points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .347

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Timberwolves are 42-20 (.677) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have averaged 16.5 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are 21-13 (.618) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .465

The Timberwolves are 35-22 (.614) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 8.7 turnovers per game (584 turnovers/67 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Jazz have averaged 17.5 turnovers per game (1,173 turnovers/67 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (1,239 turnovers/149 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (893 points/74 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have made 15.2 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Timberwolves averaged 27% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,881 free throw attempts/6,973 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 4th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 20.8 fast break points per game (1,563 points/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.3

The Jazz have averaged 6.7 steals per game (446 steals/67 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Jazz have averaged 6.4 steals per game (482 steals/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,519/3,480) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves allowed 103.7 points per game (4,253 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 113.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.