Kings vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 14, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 248.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSWI | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Kings vs Bucks Over/Under is 246.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 20-18 against the spread, while the Bucks are 16-22 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+3.5 -105O 246.5 -115+135
Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 -115U 246.5 -105-165

Bucks vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Kings and Bucks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Bucks vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 34 away games (+12.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 away games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 away games (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+9.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 65 games (+16.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 70 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games at home (+8.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 20-18 (+0.05 Units / 0.12% ROI).

  • 23-15 against the Moneyline (-8.35 Units / -10.02% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -6.94% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-22 (-8.25 Units / -19.14% ROI).

  • 27-12 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.14% ROI)
  • 24-15 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 17.46% ROI)
  • 15-24 against the Under for game total points (-11.35 Units / -26.49% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 65 games (-23.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 70 games (-19.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 63 games (-18.95 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 46 games (-17.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 57 games (-27.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (-23.45 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-18.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-15.95 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Kings are 20-1 (.952) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .794

The Kings are 22-6 (.786) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Bucks have allowed 119.4 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Kings were 35-5 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Kings were 24-12 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks were 32-9 (.780) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Bucks vs. KingsSunday‘s Game, Jan. 14

  • Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
  • Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Alex Len (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Chris Duarte (Sacramento Kings): Knee, Game Time Decision

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,748 assists/ 810 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.45 points per shot (2,467 points/1,699 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 63.3 points per game (2,467 points/39 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.5

The Bucks have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks have averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,099 points/1,506 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have allowed 4.5 fast break points per game (541 points/120 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.6

The Kings allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (698 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

The Kings have averaged 6.9 steals per game (263 steals/38 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,708 rebounds/121 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,454 rebounds/39 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (4,607 points/3,889 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.