- The Heat are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | NSCA
The Sacramento Kings visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Miami, FL.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Kings vs Heat Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 2-3 against the spread, while the Heat are 2-3 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Sacramento Kings | +1.5 -120 | O 223.5 -105 | -105 |
| Miami Heat | -1.5 +100 | U 223.5 -115 | -115 |
Heat vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the will win Monday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Heat.
Heat vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with confidence.
Bet now on Heat vs Kings and all NBA games with BetMGM
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+14.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 away games (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+14.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+11.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+9.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI).
- 3-2 against the Moneyline (+0.8 Units / 5.56% ROI)
- 3-2 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
- 2-3 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 2-3 (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 2-2 against the Moneyline (-0.3 Units / -3.7% ROI)
- 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 64 games (-23.45 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-18.70 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 28 games at home (-17.15 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 43 games at home (-17.10 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 85 games (-15.05 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 73 games (-32.60 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 84 games (-26.15 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 44 away games (-20.55 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 73 games (-15.40 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 28 games (-14.95 Units / -47% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Kings were 13-1 (.929) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777
The Kings were 16-22 (.421) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Kings were 22-6 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702
The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Kings allowed opponents to shoot 48% last season — 10th-worst in the NBA.
The Heat were 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Heat were 16-1 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
The Heat were 12-8 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
Injury Report: Heat vs. Kings – Monday‘s Game, Nov. 4
- Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
- Sacramento Kings – No Injuries Reported
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9
The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,058 assists/ 548 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat are shooting 84% from the free throw line (1,603/1,917) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%
The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (546 blocks/169 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (274 blocks/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (272 blocks/85 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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