- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on NSCA | ALT | KUSA
The Sacramento Kings visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Kings vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 25-32 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 31-29 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Sacramento Kings | O | ||
Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 77.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.18 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+16.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+14.47 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.07 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 25-32 (-10.2 Units / -15.45% ROI).
- 32-28 against the Moneyline (-12.7 Units / -8.56% ROI)
- 31-28 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.3% ROI)
- 28-31 against the Under for game total points (-6.15 Units / -9.31% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 31-29 (-0.9 Units / -1.34% ROI).
- 39-22 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.2% ROI)
- 36-25 against the Over for game total points (+8.5 Units / 12.67% ROI)
- 25-36 against the Under for game total points (-14.6 Units / -21.76% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 76 games (-27.70 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 94 games (-25.05 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.65 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 59 games (-22.40 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 94 games (-22.30 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-25.47 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 55 games (-24.45 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 55 games (-20.52 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 55 games (-17.50 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.25 Units / -30% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Kings were 16-22 (.421) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Kings are 0-14 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 112.3 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA.
The Kings are 24-29 (.453) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Kings were 30-10 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Nuggets were 53-21 (.716) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Nuggets are 41-17 (.707) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Nuggets are 15-8 (.652) when they win the turnover margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .589
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings are shooting 48% (2,606/5,456) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,324 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Kings have averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (810 turnovers/60 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5
The Kings averaged 28.3 assists per game (2,324 assists/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (656 points/61 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 61.9 points in the paint per game (1,980 points/32 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.5
The Nuggets have averaged 59.1 points in the paint per game (3,608 points/61 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.8
The Nuggets have averaged 29.2 points in the paint per game (4,170 points/143 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,175 rebounds/60 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (742 blocks/143 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,264 rebounds/61 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,210 rebounds/143 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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